The best analysis I have seen comes from a senior diplomat in Kosovo, who has agreed to share his views anonymously with readers of Eastern Approaches. The report, notes our source, is:
something of a C-grade plum pudding of true and very serious cases (already under investigation), past or rumoured cases that have yet to lead anywhere, possibly valid aspersions about the connections and business practices of the prime minister, bits of history of the Kosovo Liberation Army which Kosovars could think more deeply about, and some bland and faintly racist generalisations about Albanian society. The effect is a rich mixture, some of which cannot fail to stick, rather more than the sum of its parts.
“Imagine what's already in the mind of the EU home affairs ministers who have been pushing the commission not to allow visa liberalisation to the nasty Kosovars—and now imagine them reading the report. That might increase the pressure on Thaci to make some concessions to improve his image. But the response has been a patriotic circling of the wagons, culminating in a speech in which the prime minister... makes the nauseating assertion that the most sublime value ever created by the Albanians was the KLA.”
Where will all this lead us? There is, says our source, a:
“wider sense among Kosovars, faint but growing, that the old paradigm of international engagement—play along with the reforms and the patience and the humility and we'll keep moving you towards full independence and the EU—is coming to a grinding halt. What exactly has ten years (as they see it) of patience and concession to international and EU qualms achieved? Even visa liberalisation seems years off. EU membership must be decades away. Why should the Kosovars—and in particular politicians working on cycles that stretch ahead at most for one election—bother with the Euro-reforms? Greater Albania might be a bit of a daydream (partly because among those who probably don't want it is, er, Albania), but maybe Kosovo would be better muddling through with a steady drip of recognitions and the bilateral support of real friends like Turkey and the US.”